Polling Matters - Ep.98 Snap election - state of the parties and the race ahead

April 20, 2017
00:0000:00

With a snap general election announced, Leo Barasi is joined by Progress deputy editor Conor Pope, and political consultant Laurence Janta-Lipinski, to talk about the state of the parties and the race ahead. The Tories seem to be on course for a guaranteed landslide but does that mean they won't be able to scare potential voters about a Corbyn government? What policies and arguments can Labour offer to fight back? How far can the Lib Dems go? And is it all gloom for Ukip?

Keiran is on holiday.

Follow this week's guests:
@conorpope
@jantalipinski
@leobarasi

Polling Matters - Ep. 97 The Lib Dem fightback, the Gorton by-election and time for Nick Clegg?

April 12, 2017
00:0000:00

On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Leo is joined by Lib Dem writer and campaign strategist Mark Pack to discuss the Lib Dem fightback and the new Polling Matters / Opinium survey on the party's prospects. The Lib Dems seem to be recovering in the polls, but how high can they go, where should they look for new voters, should they change leader and can they win the Gorton by-election?  Later in the show, Leo and Mark discuss the new poll from Lord Ashcroft and what it says about the challenges the government will face in negotiating a popular Brexit deal. Keiran is on holiday.

Follow this week's guests:

@leobarasi

@markpack

Polling Matters - Ep. 96 Local elections and what will voters compromise on Brexit?

April 5, 2017
00:0000:00

On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran is joined by Colin Rallings from the University of Plymouth to discuss the latest Rallings and Thrasher projections for the coming local elections in May and what they might mean for the wider political environment. Later in the show, Keiran is joined by Leo Barasi to discuss the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey which looks at what voters would be prepared to compromise in the coming Brexit deal.

Polling Matters - Ep. 95 Brexit day: Article 50 & what now for Scotland? Plus GfK Return

March 29, 2017
00:0000:00

NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Brexit day, Article 50 polling, Scotland’s future and GfK returns

On a momentous day in British history, Keiran and Rob discuss public opinion on Brexit as the Article 50 letter lands in Brussels and Keiran discusses Scotland’s future with Ipsos Mori Scotland Research Director Mark Diffley. Finally, Keiran talks more about new GfK political polling that has made a splash this week including numbers showing Jeremy Corbyn’s approval rating among Brits being as weak as Donald Trump’s. More on that polling (including methodology and data tables here).

The segment on Scotland dominates this week’s episode and is a particularly wide ranging discussion, including new information on why the polls are not moving towards Independence at this stage. Keiran and Rob also unveil new Polling Matters / Opinium numbers showing party cross-breaks that might surprise you.

Follow this week’s guests:

@keiranpedley

@robvance

@markdiffley1

Do you want to support the PB/Polling Matters podcast?

Please vote for the show in the British Podcast Awards for ‘Listeners choice’. Just go to https://www.britishpodcastawards.com/vote  search for ‘Polling Matters’ and click on the avatar with the graph (not the one by Frank Newport). Shortlisted shows get featured on The Guardian so it really helps grow our audience if we make the cut

Polling Matters - Ep. 94 London, Second referendum(s), Snap elections & more

March 23, 2017
00:0000:00
On this week's new (revamped) episode of the PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran touches briefly on the shocking events of this week before being joined by Leo Barasi and Rob Vance to discuss the latest polling data and elections news. Keiran unveils new Polling Matters / Opinium polling on whether there should be a second EU referendum with changes that might surprise you, Leo explains why he thinks there will not be a snap election (although Keiran argues May is making a mistake in waiting) and Rob touches on events in Northern Ireland following the death of Martin McGuinness.
 
Follow this week's guests:
 
@keiranpedley
@leobarasi
@robvance

Polling Matters - Ep. 93 SCOTLAND SPECIAL (and some more on Northern Ireland)

March 15, 2017
00:0000:00

On this week’s podcast Keiran is joined by Ailsa Henderson, Head of Politics and International Relations at the University of Edinburgh to discuss a potential second Scottish Independence referendum.

Keiran and Ailsa discuss why Nicola Sturgeon decided to call for a referendum now, what a new campaign would look like, what the polls tell us about who would win, the importance of Brexit and what we can learn from Quebec.

Also on the show Keiran unveils some new polling from Opinium looking at whether voters consider Brexit the right or wrong decision (tracked from January) and we get the second part of Keiran’s conversation from last week with Mick Fealty from Slugger O’Toole on Northern Ireland.

Follow this week’s guests

@keiranpedley

@ailsa_henderson

@mickfealty

Oh and please vote for the podcast in the British podcast awards below.

Do you want to support the PB/Polling Matters podcast?

Please vote for the show in the British Podcast Awards for ‘Listeners choice’. Just go to https://www.britishpodcastawards.com/vote search for ‘Polling Matters’ and click on the avatar with the graph (not the one by Frank Newport). Shortlisted shows get featured on The Guardian so it really helps grow our audience if we make the cut.

Polling Matters - Ep. 92 Northern Ireland elections, Labour members polling & budget reaction

March 8, 2017
00:0000:00

This week’s episode of the Polling Matters podcast is split into two parts:

  • Part one: Keiran speaks to Mick Fealty of Sluggerotoole.com about what we learned from last week’s elections in Northern Ireland, who the winners and losers were and what happens next…
  • Part two: Keiran discusses this week’s polling of Labour members conducted by YouGov on behalf of Ian Warren at Election Data. Keiran is joined by Laurence Janta-Lipinski and Emma Bean to discuss how vulnerable Corbyn is and who might lead Labour into 2020 if he stands down. The panel also discuss the budget and Laurence explains why budgets are never good for governments.

Follow today’s guests here:

@keiranpedley

@mickfealty

@emmalbeanie

@jantalipinski

 

Do you want to support the Polling Matters podcast?

Please vote for the show in the British Podcast Awards for ‘Listeners choice’. Just go to https://www.britishpodcastawards.com/vote search for ‘Polling Matters’ and click on the avatar with the graph (not the one by Frank Newport). Shortlisted shows get featured on The Guardian so it really helps grow our audience if we make the cut.

Polling Matters - Ep. 91 Copeland, Corbyn alternatives and what makes a good PM?

March 1, 2017
00:0000:00

On this week's podcast, Keiran is joined by Adam Drummond of Opinium and Matt Singh of Number Cruncher Politics.

The panel discuss the fallout from and historical significance of last week's by-elections in Stoke and Copeland and what happens next for Labour and UKIP. Keiran introduces polling that shows the significance of Corbyn's leadership in Labour's situation as well as polling from YouGov on who might replace Corbyn as Labour leader should he be replaced.

Finally, Keiran and Adam unveil new Polling Matters / Opinium polling on what makes a good Prime Minister and Matt gives his impressions on what might happen after this week's election in Northern Ireland.

Follow this week's guests here:

@keiranpedley

@agkd123

@mattsingh_

Polling Matters - Ep. 90 Thatcher’s legacy with Charles Moore and looking ahead to Stoke & Copeland

February 22, 2017
00:0000:00

This week's podcast is split into two parts:

In part one Keiran is joined by Charles Moore to discuss the legacy of Margaret Thatcher, how she compares to Theresa May, would she have voted Brexit and what we should make of the new 'fake news' phenomenon. Charles Moore is the former editor of both the Sunday and Daily Telegraph and The Spectator and also the authorised biographer of the former Conservative Prime Minister.

In part two Keiran is joined by Phil Burton-Cartledge, lecturer in Sociology at the University of Derby, Labour activist and blogger for 'All that is solid'. Phil has been on the doorsteps in Stoke and Keiran asked him about his experiences talking to voters, whether he thought Labour would hold the seat this week and how politicians can reengage with apatetic working class voters.

Follow this week's guests below:

 

 

 

 

Polling Matters - Ep. 89 Trouble for Trump, ‘fake news’ & what the UK really thinks about immigration

February 16, 2017
00:0000:00
On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Leo Barasi and Harry Carr (Head of Sky Data) to discuss Donald Trump's approval rating and latest controversies, YouGov polling on 'Fake News' and the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey which this week takes a look at immigration (see image above) and the approval ratings of Theresa May, Jeremy Corbyn and other party leaders including (topically) UKIP leader Paul Nuttall.
 
Our poll on immigration looks to take an in-depth view of public attitudes on the issue. Perhaps the most striking finding is that 68% think that 'immigration places too much pressure on public services like housing and the NHS'. On this week's podcast, Keiran argues that this perception is key to the Brexit vote last June and often the untold story when immigration is debated by politicians and pundits. Whether this perception is right or wrong it is clearly widely held.
 
Follow this week's guests below:
 
@Keiranpedley
@Harrydcarr
@Leobarasi