Polling Matters - Ep. 85 May Brexit plans, immigration and Trump’s inauguration

January 18, 2017
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This week's podcast is split into two parts. 

In part one, Keiran is joined in the studio by Adam Drummond, Head of Political Polling at Opinium. Keiran and Adam discuss all things data in the aftermath of Theresa May's big Brexit speech. They discuss the public's reaction to May's speech, attitudes to 'Hard' and 'Soft' Brexits (and why numbers are not always what they seem), immigration polling, May's approval ratings and polling on the NHS. Keiran also explains why he does not think Labour's polling 'floor' is as bad as others make out.

In part two, Keiran is joined on the phone by US political expert (and Polling Matters regular), Jon-Christopher Bua. Keiran and Jon-Christopher discuss Trump's inaguration, what his transition says about the type of president he will be and what happens next once he takes the oath of office.

Follow today's guests on twitter:

@keiranpedley

@jcbua

@AGKD123

Polling Matters - Ep. 84 Corbyn the populist and Labour’s future with Andrew Harrop

January 10, 2017
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On the first PB/Polling Matters podcast of 2017 Keiran discusses the future of the Labour Party with the General Secretary of the Fabian Society Andrew Harrop. They discuss Corbyn's recent rebrand as a left-wing populist and Labour's mounting problems including Scotland, Brexit and the daunting electoral math faced in Westminster ahead of the presumed General Election in 2020 (and what to do about it). Keiran also takes us through some recent polling and explains why he thinks 2017 will be a tough year for Theresa May, regardless of the Labour Party.

Follow Keiran on twitter at @keiranpedley 

You can read the Fabians report referenced in today's podcast here 

 

Polling Matters - Ep. 83 END OF YEAR SPECIAL. Survey results and the winners and losers of 2016

December 10, 2016
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On this week's episode of the PB/Polling Matters show Keiran Rob and Leo look back at 2016 and discuss the results from the recent survey of PB/Polling Matters listeners. We discuss what our biggest shock of 2016 was, who the biggest winners and losers were from the year and our defining moments of 2016. We also take some time to read out some comments from listeners and mull over what 2017 might bring.

Follow the team at

@keiranpedley

@robvance

@leobarasi

A big thanks to all our listeners in 2016 for all of their lovely comments! Here is to 2017!

Polling Matters - Ep. 82 Trump tweets, Democrats future, Paul Nuttall and ICM poll

November 29, 2016
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The PB/Polling Matters podcast is two years old! A big thanks to all our listeners for the 900,000 plus downloads in that time and to all the guests that have joined us in the studio.

On this week’s anniversary edition Keiran is joined by regular contributor Rob Vance and US Democratic Pollster (and one half of ‘The Pollsters’ podcast) Margie Omero.

Keiran, Rob and Margie look again at the US presidential election, Trump’s latest tweets and who to watch out for on the Democrat side looking ahead to 2020. Later in the show Keiran and Rob talk about Paul Nuttall’s election as leader of UKIP and Keiran looks at today’s ICM poll and explains why Labour focusing on the threat from UKIP may be missing the point.

Follow today’s guests at:

@keiranpedley

@robvance

@MargieOmero

Polling Matters - Ep. 81 Analysing Trump’s victory and what happens next with Jon-Christopher Bua

November 15, 2016
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On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined once more by White House Correspondent and US political analyst Jon-Christopher Bua.

Jon-Christopher gives his verdict on why Trump won, what went wrong for the Clinton campaign and what happens next with a specific focus on President Trump's first 100 days.

Later in the show Keiran gives his perspective on what happened with the polls and where pundits went wrong.

Follow Keiran at @keiranpedley and Jon-Christopher at @JCBua

 

 

Polling Matters - Ep. 80 Trump wins

November 9, 2016
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It's 6.30am on Wednesday 9th November and Donald Trump is heading for victory and will soon become the next president-elect of the United States.

Keiran and Leo discuss how it happened, what it means and what comes next.

Follow Keiran and Leo at @keiranpedley & @leobarasi

Polling Matters - Ep. 79 Race for the White House one week to go

November 1, 2016
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In this week's episode of the PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran, Leo and Rob look at the latest US election polling with one week left of the campaign to go. 

The team discuss whether the polls are tightening and Keiran explains why he is less relaxed about a Clinton victory than the others. We then turn to the electoral college and discuss key states to look out for next Tuesday including Ohio, Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. The podcast ends with a look ahead to what happens after next week, whoever wins.

Follow the Polling Matters team here:

@keiranpedley
@robvance
@leobarasi


Polling Matters - Ep. 78 Heathrow, Labour’s floor, UKIP leadership and the ‘No Brexit’ Party

October 26, 2016
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After a week off, Keiran is joined by Asa Bennett of the Telegraph and Leo Barasi to discuss Theresa May's growing in-tray with a specific focus on the decision to expand Heathrow airport and the resulting by-election in Richmond. Also discussed is whether the Labour Party vote has a 'floor', UKIP's leadership election and what prospects the polls say a 'STOP BREXIT' party might have in a General Election.

Follow this weeks guests here:

@keiranpedley
@leobarasi
@asabenn

Polling Matters - Ep. 77 US election special

October 12, 2016
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On this week's PB/Polling Matters show Keiran is joined by US elections experts Mark Gettleson from Portobello Communications and hosts of the LSE US podcast 'The Ballpark' Denise Baron and Chris Gilson. 

Topics discussed include reaction to Sunday's debate and how the polls have moved since. Keiran questions whether US polls have an appropriately balanced sample. We look at polling on why US voters are voting the way they are - is it 'for' each candidate or 'against' their respective opponents? We also talk Trump's war with Paul Ryan and the potential impact of early voting and what to expect from the battle for Congress.
Today's guests can be found here:
Keiran Pedley
@keiranpedley

Mark Gettleson

@MarksOutOf100

 

Chris Gilson

@ChrisHJGilson

 

Denise Baron

@BaronDenise

You can listen to the LSE podcast 'The Ballpark' here

Don't forget to subscribe to the Polling Matters podcast on iTunes or Android and leave a comment or rating if you like the show. You can also like the Polling Matters Facebook page here. Any sharing on social media really helps grow our audience and is very much appreciated.

Polling Matters - Ep. 76 Great (Br)expectations, why the Tories don’t want a snap election and the Clinton ’surge’

October 5, 2016
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On this week's show Keiran is joined by Rob Vance and Matt Singh to discuss this week's Conservative Party conference. We look at what the public expect from Brexit, what polling really tells us about the immigration vs the single market debate, why the Tories might not want a snap election after all and just how much trouble Trump's campaign is in as the race for the White House enters the final stages.

You can follow this week's guests at:

@keiranpedley
@robvance
@mattsingh_