Polling Matters

Polling Matters - Ep. 39 What now for UKIP & the EU referendum campaign

This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast talks about UKIP and the upcoming EU referendum with Professor Matthew Goodwin of the University of Kent. Professor Goodwin is one of the foremost experts on UKIP and is co-author of ‘Revolt on the Right’ (2015 political book of the year) and the more recently ‘UKIP: Inside the campaign to redraw the map of British politics’.  

Topics covered on this week’s podcast include:

1)      How is UKIP doing? Should the leadership be happy or unhappy?

2)      What should their strategy be?  How does the party grow? Could the party rebrand itself?

3)      How important is Nigel Farage to UKIPs future and who might replace him?

4)      What is the state of EU referendum polling and why are online and telephone polls so different?

5)      Why Remain is the favourite? What can ‘Leave’ do to win?

6)      What impact will the campaign have on British politics afterwards?

You can follow Matthew, Rob and Keiran at @GoodwinMJ @keiranpedley and @robvance

Like the podcast? You can subscribe on iTunes here. Please ‘like’ our Facebook page here too.

Polling Matters - Ep. 38 Labour Reshuffle, Corbyn's future and questions from listeners w/ Damian McBride

On the first PB/Polling Matters podcast of 2016 Keiran and Rob are joined by former special adviser to Gordon Brown Damian McBride. Damian talks through his reactions to this week's reshuffle, how political coups work and his advice for Jeremy Corbyn's team. Keiran talks us through some of the polling and asks how much this reshuffle really matters and the team take questions from listeners about this week's events, Corbyn's future and who Labour should and should not want to face as Prime Minister at the 2020 General Election.

You can follow Damian, Keiran and Rob on twitter at the following @dpmcbride @keiranpedley @robvance

ANNOUNCEMENT: The Polling Matters team is delighted to announce that we made the top 10 news and politics podcasts out of 120,000 on the website Podbean for the whole of 2015. Thanks to all of our listeners for pressing play and for sharing on social media (and please continue to do so)!

Polling Matters - END OF YEAR SPECIAL PT2. Looking ahead to 2016 (Race for the White House, EU referendum & May elections)

In part 2 of the PB/Polling Matters End of 2015 special, Keiran, Rob and Matt look ahead to 2016 and discuss the race for the White House, EU referendum, May elections and more including:

1) Is identity politics replacing class as the number one issue defining our politics in the UK and elsewhere?

2) What is the best and worst case scenario for Hilary Clinton in terms of the opponent she faces in 2016? Will it be a 'security election' or is it 'the economy, stupid' once again?

3) Why David Cameron is crucial to the outcome of the E.U. Referendum but may lose his party in the process? What are the messages that each side should be using to win over swing voters on the issue?

4) What should we really be looking out for in May's elections in the UK?

You can follow the Polling Matters team at

@keiranpedley

@robvance

@MattSingh_   

Subsribe to the PB / Polling Matters podcast on iTunes at https://itunes.apple.com/gb/podcast/polling-matters/id951904578?mt=2

Polling Matters: END OF YEAR SPECIAL Pt 1. Looking back at 2015 (Polling disasters, Scotland and a 'new' Labour Party)

In part one of a two-part Christmas special Keiran is joined by Matt Singh and Rob Vance to look back at the year that was 2015 and discuss what Polling Matters has learned along the way. Key areas discussed include:

1) Where the polls went wrong and the impact polling had on the General Election.

2) Why Keiran thinks developments in Scotland are the big story of the year 

3) Why do governments change so infrequently in British politics?

4) The rise of Jeremy Corbyn and why he enters the new year in a very strong position

In Part 2 (out next week) Keiran, Matt and Rob look forward to 2016, the race for the White House, E.U. Referendum and things to look out for.

You can follow the Polling Matters team at

@keiranpedley

@robvance

@MattSingh_   

Subsribe to the PB / Polling Matters podcast on iTunes at https://itunes.apple.com/gb/podcast/polling-matters/id951904578?mt=2

Polling Matters - Ep. 36 Can Trump really win? w/ Ariel Edwards-Levy

On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran talks Trump with Ariel Edwards-Levy of the Huffington Post USA. His recent comments on Muslims have caused an international furor and yet his popularity (at least in the GOP) seems undiminished. Should we start getting used to the idea of President Trump? Why might Iowa and New Hampshire not hold the same significance in this race that they usually do and if not Trump then who?

Ariel Edwards-:Levy is a reporter and polling director for the Huffington Post. You can follow Ariel on twitter at @aedwardslevy 

You can follow Keiran on twitter at @keiranpedley

Subsribe to the PB / Polling Matters podcast on iTunes at https://itunes.apple.com/gb/podcast/polling-matters/id951904578?mt=2

Polling Matters - Ep. 35 Oldham, Syria, Polling and Benn

This week’s podcast reacts to a momentous week in British politics as parliament votes to approve airstrikes in Syria and Labour convincingly holds Oldham West and Royton in Thursday’s by-election. What role has polling played? How strong is Jeremy Corbyn after a tough week and should public opinion really influence complex foreign policy decisions? Finally, how likely is it that Hilary Benn could replace Jeremy Corbyn as Labour leader in the future?

 

Keiran discusses these issues with Rob Vance @robvance and former Labour Party Head of Press and Broadcasting Peter Morton @pjmmor.

 

You can follow Keiran on twitter at @keiranpedley

 

Subsribe to the PB / Polling Matters on iTunes at https://itunes.apple.com/gb/podcast/polling-matters/id951904578?mt=2

Polling Matters - Ep. 34 The U.S. Presidential race w/ Stan Greenberg

On this week's episode of the PB / Polling Matters podcast Keiran discusses the 2016 US Presidential race with Democratic pollster and strategist Stan Greenberg.

Stan talks about his new book 'America Ascendant' where he outlines the profound demographic and cultural changes that have taken place in the U.S. and why they make the Democrats most likely to triumph in 2016 (and beyond). Stan also picks his three GOP candidates to watch and predicts an unlikely eventual nominee. Finally, the podcast turns to Labour and Stan gives his thoughts on the current state of the UK Labour Party.

You can follow Stan Greenberg at @StanGreenberg and find out more about 'America Ascendant' below

America Ascendant: A Revolutionary Nation's Path to Addressing Its Deepest Problems and Leading the 21st Century

https://uk.search.yahoo.com/search;_ylt=A9mSs2g5k1VWH0gAUT1LBQx.;_ylc=X1MDMjExNDcxNzAwMwRfcgMyBGZyA21jYWZlZQRncHJpZAMuNWFOd2ExR1E1R0h4OFJTRDlaT2tBBG5fcnNsdAMwBG5fc3VnZwM0BG9yaWdpbgN1ay5zZWFyY2gueWFob28uY29tBHBvcwMwBHBxc3RyAwRwcXN0cmwDBHFzdHJsAzI3BHF1ZXJ5A2FtZXJpY2EgYXNjZW5kYW50IGdyZWVuYmVyZwR0X3N0bXADMTQ0ODQ0ODgzOQ--?p=america+ascendant+greenberg&fr2=sb-top-uk.search&fr=mcafee&type=C211GB642D20141129

You can follow Keiran on twitter at @keiranpedley

Subsribe to the PB / Polling Matters on iTunes at https://itunes.apple.com/gb/podcast/polling-matters/id951904578?mt=2

Polling Matters - Ep. 33 What do UK Muslims really think about terrorism?

On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran speaks to Tom Mludzinski of ComRes about the firm’s polling among British Muslims earlier this year before speaking with Maria Sobolewska from the University of Manchester about her work looking at Muslim public opinion in the UK on terrorism and other issues. We then close the show with Tom Mludzinski again explaining how support for military action in Syria has increased since last Friday but that this comes with some caveats – not least will such support last? 

Polling Matters - Ep. 32 What's it like running for parliament?

On this week’s edition of the PB / Polling Matters podcast we explore what it’s like running for parliament. Keiran speaks to two unsuccessful candidates from 2015 and asks about their experiences, the pressures they faced and why they thought Labour lost.

About this week's guests:

Russell Whiting stood in Suffolk Coastal and works as a political advisor for an NGO. You can follow Russell on twitter at @Russell_Whiting 

James Frith stood in Bury North and runs his own business ‘All Together’ http://thealltogether.co.uk/ which provides career advice for secondary school children. You can follow James at @JamesFrith

Polling Matters - Ep. 31 Scotland's future w/ Kate Devlin

On this week's PB / Polling Matters podcast Keiran discusses all things Scotland with Kate Devlin of The Herald. How bad are things for Labour? Are the SNP unstoppable in 2016 and when might we see a second independence referendum? Meanwhile, what implications might the upcoming EU referendum have on politics in Scotland and UKIP's long term prospects in the rest of the UK?