Polling Matters

Polling Matters - Ep. 89 Trouble for Trump, 'fake news' & what the UK really thinks about immigration

On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Leo Barasi and Harry Carr (Head of Sky Data) to discuss Donald Trump's approval rating and latest controversies, YouGov polling on 'Fake News' and the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey which this week takes a look at immigration (see image above) and the approval ratings of Theresa May, Jeremy Corbyn and other party leaders including (topically) UKIP leader Paul Nuttall.

 

Our poll on immigration looks to take an in-depth view of public attitudes on the issue. Perhaps the most striking finding is that 68% think that 'immigration places too much pressure on public services like housing and the NHS'. On this week's podcast, Keiran argues that this perception is key to the Brexit vote last June and often the untold story when immigration is debated by politicians and pundits. Whether this perception is right or wrong it is clearly widely held.

 

Follow this week's guests below:

 

@Keiranpedley

@Harrydcarr

@Leobarasi 

Polling Matters - Ep. 88 Article 50, German elections & past PM poll ratings

This weeks show is split into three key parts.

In part one, Keiran speaks to German political commentator and elections expect Nina Schick, who explains what we should look out for in German politics, the SPD surge and what the German government wants from Brexit.

In part two, Keiran is joined by Leo Barasi to discuss the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey looking at whether the PMs of the past 30 years did a good or bad job and how this compares to current perceptions of Theresa May. Who do current Tory voters favour and what does Labour voter perceptions of Blair and Brown say about the party now? Keiran and Leo also discuss Bercow's Trump intervention this week and what's next for Clive Lewis.

Finally, Keiran gives his immediate thoughts in the aftermath of parliament voting to invoke Article 50 and Clive Lewis deciding to resign from Labour's front bench.

Follow this week's guests here:

@ninadschick

@leobarasi

@keiranpedley

Polling Matters - Ep. 87 Northern Ireland elections, Brexit impact & polling on May & Corbyn

This week's episode of the podcast is split into two parts. On the first part, Keiran is joined by Nicholas Whyte. Nicholas is an expert on elections and politics in Northern Ireland and explains what is behind the upcoming election and gives an ominous warning on the potential impact that Brexit might have on the province. In the second half of the show, Keiran is joined by fellow podcaster Leo Barasi to discuss the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey on Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn and what to make of parliament voting to trigger Article 50, thus starting the formal process of Britain leaving the EU.

Follow today's guests:

@keiranpedley

@nwbrux (Nicholas Whyte)

@Leobarasi

Polling Matters - Ep. 86 Defining feminism, women's march and was Brexit a mistake?

On this week’s podcast, Keiran is joined by Labour blogger and political activist Jade Azim and Addin365 CEO and tech entrepreneur Suzy Dean to discuss the recent women’s march, feminism and whether Britain made a mistake in deciding to leave the European Union.

This week’s podcast was particularly lively as Suzy and Jade hold very different views on feminism and Brexit. Jade attended the recent march in London and voted Remain whilst Suzy doubts what marching will achieve and strongly supported the Leave campaign.

Also discussed on this week’s show is the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey which asked the public whether Britain had made the right decision in voting to leave the E.U.  

Follow today’s guests here

@keiranpedley

@jadefrancesazim

@dean_of_suzy

Polling Matters - Ep. 85 May Brexit plans, immigration and Trump's inauguration

This week's podcast is split into two parts. 

In part one, Keiran is joined in the studio by Adam Drummond, Head of Political Polling at Opinium. Keiran and Adam discuss all things data in the aftermath of Theresa May's big Brexit speech. They discuss the public's reaction to May's speech, attitudes to 'Hard' and 'Soft' Brexits (and why numbers are not always what they seem), immigration polling, May's approval ratings and polling on the NHS. Keiran also explains why he does not think Labour's polling 'floor' is as bad as others make out.

In part two, Keiran is joined on the phone by US political expert (and Polling Matters regular), Jon-Christopher Bua. Keiran and Jon-Christopher discuss Trump's inaguration, what his transition says about the type of president he will be and what happens next once he takes the oath of office.

Follow today's guests on twitter:

@keiranpedley

@jcbua

@AGKD123

Polling Matters - Ep. 84 Corbyn the populist and Labour's future with Andrew Harrop

On the first PB/Polling Matters podcast of 2017 Keiran discusses the future of the Labour Party with the General Secretary of the Fabian Society Andrew Harrop. They discuss Corbyn's recent rebrand as a left-wing populist and Labour's mounting problems including Scotland, Brexit and the daunting electoral math faced in Westminster ahead of the presumed General Election in 2020 (and what to do about it). Keiran also takes us through some recent polling and explains why he thinks 2017 will be a tough year for Theresa May, regardless of the Labour Party.

Follow Keiran on twitter at @keiranpedley 

You can read the Fabians report referenced in today's podcast here 

 

Polling Matters - Ep. 83 END OF YEAR SPECIAL. Survey results and the winners and losers of 2016

On this week's episode of the PB/Polling Matters show Keiran Rob and Leo look back at 2016 and discuss the results from the recent survey of PB/Polling Matters listeners. We discuss what our biggest shock of 2016 was, who the biggest winners and losers were from the year and our defining moments of 2016. We also take some time to read out some comments from listeners and mull over what 2017 might bring.

Follow the team at

@keiranpedley

@robvance

@leobarasi

A big thanks to all our listeners in 2016 for all of their lovely comments! Here is to 2017!

Polling Matters - Ep. 82 Trump tweets, Democrats future, Paul Nuttall and ICM poll

The PB/Polling Matters podcast is two years old! A big thanks to all our listeners for the 900,000 plus downloads in that time and to all the guests that have joined us in the studio.

On this week’s anniversary edition Keiran is joined by regular contributor Rob Vance and US Democratic Pollster (and one half of ‘The Pollsters’ podcast) Margie Omero.

Keiran, Rob and Margie look again at the US presidential election, Trump’s latest tweets and who to watch out for on the Democrat side looking ahead to 2020. Later in the show Keiran and Rob talk about Paul Nuttall’s election as leader of UKIP and Keiran looks at today’s ICM poll and explains why Labour focusing on the threat from UKIP may be missing the point.

Follow today’s guests at:

@keiranpedley

@robvance

@MargieOmero

Polling Matters - Ep. 81 Analysing Trump's victory and what happens next with Jon-Christopher Bua

On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined once more by White House Correspondent and US political analyst Jon-Christopher Bua.

Jon-Christopher gives his verdict on why Trump won, what went wrong for the Clinton campaign and what happens next with a specific focus on President Trump's first 100 days.

Later in the show Keiran gives his perspective on what happened with the polls and where pundits went wrong.

Follow Keiran at @keiranpedley and Jon-Christopher at @JCBua

 

 

Polling Matters - Ep. 80 Trump wins

It's 6.30am on Wednesday 9th November and Donald Trump is heading for victory and will soon become the next president-elect of the United States.

Keiran and Leo discuss how it happened, what it means and what comes next.

Follow Keiran and Leo at @keiranpedley & @leobarasi