Polling Matters - Ep. 93 SCOTLAND SPECIAL (and some more on Northern Ireland)

March 15, 2017
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On this week’s podcast Keiran is joined by Ailsa Henderson, Head of Politics and International Relations at the University of Edinburgh to discuss a potential second Scottish Independence referendum.

Keiran and Ailsa discuss why Nicola Sturgeon decided to call for a referendum now, what a new campaign would look like, what the polls tell us about who would win, the importance of Brexit and what we can learn from Quebec.

Also on the show Keiran unveils some new polling from Opinium looking at whether voters consider Brexit the right or wrong decision (tracked from January) and we get the second part of Keiran’s conversation from last week with Mick Fealty from Slugger O’Toole on Northern Ireland.

Follow this week’s guests

@keiranpedley

@ailsa_henderson

@mickfealty

Oh and please vote for the podcast in the British podcast awards below.

Do you want to support the PB/Polling Matters podcast?

Please vote for the show in the British Podcast Awards for ‘Listeners choice’. Just go to https://www.britishpodcastawards.com/vote search for ‘Polling Matters’ and click on the avatar with the graph (not the one by Frank Newport). Shortlisted shows get featured on The Guardian so it really helps grow our audience if we make the cut.

Polling Matters - Ep. 92 Northern Ireland elections, Labour members polling & budget reaction

March 8, 2017
00:0000:00

This week’s episode of the Polling Matters podcast is split into two parts:

  • Part one: Keiran speaks to Mick Fealty of Sluggerotoole.com about what we learned from last week’s elections in Northern Ireland, who the winners and losers were and what happens next…
  • Part two: Keiran discusses this week’s polling of Labour members conducted by YouGov on behalf of Ian Warren at Election Data. Keiran is joined by Laurence Janta-Lipinski and Emma Bean to discuss how vulnerable Corbyn is and who might lead Labour into 2020 if he stands down. The panel also discuss the budget and Laurence explains why budgets are never good for governments.

Follow today’s guests here:

@keiranpedley

@mickfealty

@emmalbeanie

@jantalipinski

 

Do you want to support the Polling Matters podcast?

Please vote for the show in the British Podcast Awards for ‘Listeners choice’. Just go to https://www.britishpodcastawards.com/vote search for ‘Polling Matters’ and click on the avatar with the graph (not the one by Frank Newport). Shortlisted shows get featured on The Guardian so it really helps grow our audience if we make the cut.

Polling Matters - Ep. 91 Copeland, Corbyn alternatives and what makes a good PM?

March 1, 2017
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On this week's podcast, Keiran is joined by Adam Drummond of Opinium and Matt Singh of Number Cruncher Politics.

The panel discuss the fallout from and historical significance of last week's by-elections in Stoke and Copeland and what happens next for Labour and UKIP. Keiran introduces polling that shows the significance of Corbyn's leadership in Labour's situation as well as polling from YouGov on who might replace Corbyn as Labour leader should he be replaced.

Finally, Keiran and Adam unveil new Polling Matters / Opinium polling on what makes a good Prime Minister and Matt gives his impressions on what might happen after this week's election in Northern Ireland.

Follow this week's guests here:

@keiranpedley

@agkd123

@mattsingh_

Polling Matters - Ep. 90 Thatcher’s legacy with Charles Moore and looking ahead to Stoke & Copeland

February 22, 2017
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This week's podcast is split into two parts:

In part one Keiran is joined by Charles Moore to discuss the legacy of Margaret Thatcher, how she compares to Theresa May, would she have voted Brexit and what we should make of the new 'fake news' phenomenon. Charles Moore is the former editor of both the Sunday and Daily Telegraph and The Spectator and also the authorised biographer of the former Conservative Prime Minister.

In part two Keiran is joined by Phil Burton-Cartledge, lecturer in Sociology at the University of Derby, Labour activist and blogger for 'All that is solid'. Phil has been on the doorsteps in Stoke and Keiran asked him about his experiences talking to voters, whether he thought Labour would hold the seat this week and how politicians can reengage with apatetic working class voters.

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Polling Matters - Ep. 89 Trouble for Trump, ‘fake news’ & what the UK really thinks about immigration

February 16, 2017
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On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Leo Barasi and Harry Carr (Head of Sky Data) to discuss Donald Trump's approval rating and latest controversies, YouGov polling on 'Fake News' and the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey which this week takes a look at immigration (see image above) and the approval ratings of Theresa May, Jeremy Corbyn and other party leaders including (topically) UKIP leader Paul Nuttall.
 
Our poll on immigration looks to take an in-depth view of public attitudes on the issue. Perhaps the most striking finding is that 68% think that 'immigration places too much pressure on public services like housing and the NHS'. On this week's podcast, Keiran argues that this perception is key to the Brexit vote last June and often the untold story when immigration is debated by politicians and pundits. Whether this perception is right or wrong it is clearly widely held.
 
Follow this week's guests below:
 
@Keiranpedley
@Harrydcarr
@Leobarasi 

Polling Matters - Ep. 88 Article 50, German elections & past PM poll ratings

February 8, 2017
00:0000:00

This weeks show is split into three key parts.

In part one, Keiran speaks to German political commentator and elections expect Nina Schick, who explains what we should look out for in German politics, the SPD surge and what the German government wants from Brexit.

In part two, Keiran is joined by Leo Barasi to discuss the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey looking at whether the PMs of the past 30 years did a good or bad job and how this compares to current perceptions of Theresa May. Who do current Tory voters favour and what does Labour voter perceptions of Blair and Brown say about the party now? Keiran and Leo also discuss Bercow's Trump intervention this week and what's next for Clive Lewis.

Finally, Keiran gives his immediate thoughts in the aftermath of parliament voting to invoke Article 50 and Clive Lewis deciding to resign from Labour's front bench.

Follow this week's guests here:

@ninadschick

@leobarasi

@keiranpedley

Polling Matters - Ep. 87 Northern Ireland elections, Brexit impact & polling on May & Corbyn

February 1, 2017
00:0000:00

This week's episode of the podcast is split into two parts. On the first part, Keiran is joined by Nicholas Whyte. Nicholas is an expert on elections and politics in Northern Ireland and explains what is behind the upcoming election and gives an ominous warning on the potential impact that Brexit might have on the province. In the second half of the show, Keiran is joined by fellow podcaster Leo Barasi to discuss the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey on Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn and what to make of parliament voting to trigger Article 50, thus starting the formal process of Britain leaving the EU.

Follow today's guests:

@keiranpedley

@nwbrux (Nicholas Whyte)

@Leobarasi

Polling Matters - Ep. 86 Defining feminism, women’s march and was Brexit a mistake?

January 25, 2017
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On this week’s podcast, Keiran is joined by Labour blogger and political activist Jade Azim and Addin365 CEO and tech entrepreneur Suzy Dean to discuss the recent women’s march, feminism and whether Britain made a mistake in deciding to leave the European Union.

This week’s podcast was particularly lively as Suzy and Jade hold very different views on feminism and Brexit. Jade attended the recent march in London and voted Remain whilst Suzy doubts what marching will achieve and strongly supported the Leave campaign.

Also discussed on this week’s show is the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey which asked the public whether Britain had made the right decision in voting to leave the E.U.  

Follow today’s guests here

@keiranpedley

@jadefrancesazim

@dean_of_suzy

Polling Matters - Ep. 85 May Brexit plans, immigration and Trump’s inauguration

January 18, 2017
00:0000:00

This week's podcast is split into two parts. 

In part one, Keiran is joined in the studio by Adam Drummond, Head of Political Polling at Opinium. Keiran and Adam discuss all things data in the aftermath of Theresa May's big Brexit speech. They discuss the public's reaction to May's speech, attitudes to 'Hard' and 'Soft' Brexits (and why numbers are not always what they seem), immigration polling, May's approval ratings and polling on the NHS. Keiran also explains why he does not think Labour's polling 'floor' is as bad as others make out.

In part two, Keiran is joined on the phone by US political expert (and Polling Matters regular), Jon-Christopher Bua. Keiran and Jon-Christopher discuss Trump's inaguration, what his transition says about the type of president he will be and what happens next once he takes the oath of office.

Follow today's guests on twitter:

@keiranpedley

@jcbua

@AGKD123

Polling Matters - Ep. 84 Corbyn the populist and Labour’s future with Andrew Harrop

January 10, 2017
00:0000:00

On the first PB/Polling Matters podcast of 2017 Keiran discusses the future of the Labour Party with the General Secretary of the Fabian Society Andrew Harrop. They discuss Corbyn's recent rebrand as a left-wing populist and Labour's mounting problems including Scotland, Brexit and the daunting electoral math faced in Westminster ahead of the presumed General Election in 2020 (and what to do about it). Keiran also takes us through some recent polling and explains why he thinks 2017 will be a tough year for Theresa May, regardless of the Labour Party.

Follow Keiran on twitter at @keiranpedley 

You can read the Fabians report referenced in today's podcast here