Polling Matters - Episode 115 German election special: Merkel’s future & the German UKIP

September 27, 2017

On this week's PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran is joined by Dr Roland Kappe of UCL to discuss the recent German election results and what happens next.

Keiran and Roland look at the results that stood out, why the AfD did so well (and whether comparisons with UKIP are valid) plus what form of coalition Angela Merkel could form and why the German election result might be bad for Brexit negotiations.

Elsewhere on the show, Keiran reviews the latest polls and gives his snap reaction to Corbyn's conference speech on Wednesday.

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Polling Matters - Episode 114 Hurricanes, Trump’s approval rating, the EU withdrawal bill & Tory attempts to woo young voters

September 12, 2017

On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran rounds up the latest political news and polling analysis from the US and the UK.

This week's episode is a solo effort due to a last minute cancellation by a guest, so Keiran takes the reigns alone in a shorter than usual show. Following his return from the States, Keiran takes you through the latest US political news including a slight uptick in Trump's approval rating following Hurricane Harvey and Hurricane Irma.

Closer to home, Keiran reviews the latest UK and Scotland polls, the fallout from this week's vote over the EU withdrawal bill and Tory attempts to woo back young voters from Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party.

Follow Keiran at @keiranpedley

Polling Matters - Episode 113 What will immigration look like after Brexit?

August 30, 2017

The PB/Polling Matters podcast returns with a review of the summer and in-depth interview on the Brexit talks and where Britain goes from here with Jonathan Portes.

Jonathan is a Professor of Economics at King's College London and a Senior Fellow for UK in a Changing Europe. An expert in matters of immigration and labour markets, Jonathan was Chief Economist at the DWP from 2002 to 2008 and at the Cabinet Office from 2008 to 2011. He was also Director of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research between 2011 and 2015.

On this week's episode Keiran and Jonathan discuss the progress made in the Brexit talks, what immigration could look like after Brexit and the significance or otherwise of Labour's recent policy pronouncements on the single market.

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Polling Matters - Episode 112 End of term review

July 26, 2017

As Westminster heads on its summer holidays, Keiran is joined by Polling Matters regulars Leo Barasi and Rob Vance to review the year-to-date. 

The trio discuss polling showing that the Tories are now seen as more divided than Labour and they also discuss Chuka Umunna's recent tweet that seemingly challenged the Labour leadership's position on Europe. Keiran, Rob and Leo then look at what the myriad of polling on Brexit tells us about public opinion on the subject and indeed whether it matters considering the relative lack of difference in policy on Europe shared by the two main parties in Westminster.

The podcast concludes with each of the panellists explaining what they will be looking out for when Westminster returns in the autumn.

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Please note: The podcast will now take a three week break for the summer unless a major political story breaks.


Polling Matters - Episode 111 Who is Britain’s most popular politician?

July 19, 2017

On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss exclusive polling from Opinium that looks at how popular a series of frontline British politicians are.

The poll asked a nationally representative sample of UK adults to rate the following politicians on a scale of 0 to 10 on the basis of how favourable they were to them:

  • Jeremy Corbyn
  • Sadiq Khan
  • Yvette Cooper
  • Keir Starmer
  • Emily Thornberry
  • Diane Abbott
  • Ed Miliband
  • Theresa May
  • Boris Johnson
  • David Davis
  • Phillip Hammond
  • Ruth Davidson
  • Michael Gove
  • Amber Rudd
  • Vince Cable
  • Nicola Sturgeon
  • Arlene Foster

Jeremy Corbyn was the winner - but there's a catch. Listen to the podcast to find out more.

Keiran and Leo also discuss Tony Blair's recent Brexit intervention and ask whether he is a help or a hindrance to his cause.

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Polling Matters - Episode 110 Support for a 2nd Brexit vote grows (plus THOSE Trump emails)

July 12, 2017

On this week's podcast Keiran is joined once more by US political analyst Jon-Christopher Bua.

Keiran and JC discuss the political fallout in the States following scandalous revelations from emails. However, this time they are not Clinton emails but those of Donald Trump Jr. Keiran and JC also discuss what Corbyn’s surge might mean for US politics in the future and why America doesn’t have universal healthcare even though some polls suggest that the concept is more popular than you might think.

Later in the show, Keiran unveils some exclusive polling from Opinium showing that UK public opinion seems to be steadily edging towards support for a second referendum on EU membership. Opposition to another vote still leads by 7 points (48%-41% against) but this is down from 19 points in December. There will be more to come on this from Keiran on PB in the coming days but for now you will have to download the podcast to find out more.

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Polling Matters - Episode 109 Do voters think Corbyn is ready to be Prime Minister?

July 5, 2017

On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Habib Butt and Leo Barasi to discuss the latest polling news and analysis of the week.

Key topics discussed this week include:

1) What the polls tell us about the state of the parties

2) Who the voters think would make the best PM and what the numbers mean 

3) Exclusive Polling Matters / Opinium numbers on why people voted as they did in June and whether Corbyn is ready to be PM or not

4) How Remainers and Brextiers like their steak

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Polling Matters - Episode 108 Queen’s Speech, Brexit negotiations, Lib Dems and the youth surge

June 21, 2017

On this week's podcast, Keiran is joined by Dr Mark Pack of Lib Dem Newswire and Adam Drummond of Opinium. 

The team discuss this week's Queen's Speech and the start of the Brexit negotiations and what happens next for the Lib Dems now that Tim Farron has resigned.

The panel also discuss Ipsos Mori's data on 'who voted for who' at the General Election and what impact younger voters might have on British politics in the coming years.

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Polling Matters - Episode 107 General Election debrief: Between YouGov and the DUP

June 14, 2017

This week’s podcast is split into two parts.

In part one, Keiran chats with Ben Lauderdale from the LSE. Ben was behind the infamous YouGov model which turned out to be so successful. He explains how the model works, what it tells us about the campaign and British politics more generally and where the polling industry goes from here.

In part two, Keiran is joined by Mick Fealty of Slugger O’Toole to discuss what the DUP might want from the Tories and what any potential deal might mean for the future of the Northern Ireland peace process. Mick gives an interesting perspective on why he is worried about the peace process but still remains optimistic for the future of Northern Ireland.

Keiran then finishes by giving his thoughts on the election and the state of play in British politics

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Polling Matters - Episode 106 Election eve special

June 7, 2017

On a special eve of election podcast Keiran is joined by Politicalbetting.com Editor Mike Smithson and Deputy Habib Butt (TSE) to review the campaign, polls, seats to watch tomorrow night and to make some predictions.

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