Polling Matters

Polling Matters - Ep. 49 Trump's path to 1237, Terrorism, Osborne and Labour ahead?

On this week's podcast, Keiran Rob and Leo discuss a range of subjects including:

1) Can Trump reach the 1237 delegates he needs to win outright?

2) What impact might the Brussels terror attacks have on the US presidential race and UK EU referendum campaign?

3) Is Osborne finished?

4) Is Labour's current poll lead 'real' and does it matter?

Polling Matters - Ep. 48 March 15 and Budget Reaction

This week's podcast brings you the latest reaction from the March 15 primaries in the US whilst closer to home we look at this week's budget and its potential implications for the EU referendum and George Osborne's leadership ambitions. Keiran was joined in the studio today by the Telegraph's Asa Bennett, Mike Smithson and the returning Rob Vance.

Polling Matters - Ep. 47 Looking ahead to March 15th, The Budget and Beyond

On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran looks back at a busy week in U.S. politics and updates us on the latest results from this weekend and fallout from Trump’s cancelled rally in Chicago. Keiran also argues why he thinks a Trump-Cruz ticket is more likely than the GOP establishment choosing a Kasich, Rubio or Ryan. Meanwhile, on the Democratic side, could Sanders supporters being seen to disrupt Trump campaign events help his campaign and could President Obama’s improving approval rating ultimately lead to a comfortable win for the Democratic nominee – whoever that might be?

Also on the podcast this week are highlights from this week’s Tip TV politics show. Leading PB writer Alastair Meeks joins Keiran and Mike in the studio looking ahead to the budget and explaining why he is something of an ‘Osborne sceptic’ when it comes to who will be the next Conservative leader and Prime Minister. Meanwhile, Matthew Shaddick of Ladbrokes politics joins Mike and Keiran to discuss some of the latest betting odds on Brexit, Next Tory Leader and the U.S. Presidential race.

You can follow this week’s podcast guests on twitter at:

@AlastairMeeks 

@Keiranpedley

@MSmithsonPB 

@LadPolitics 

Polling Matters - Ep. 46 Super Tuesday & Labour with Stewart Wood

On this week's podcast, Keiran sits down with Labour Peer Stewart Wood and Mike Smithson to discuss the fallout from Super Tuesday in the U.S. and how Labour might get on in May's elections closer to home

Polling Matters - Ep. 45 Europe and UKIP with Douglas Carswell

In this week's episode Keiran interviews UKIP MP Douglas Carswell about his political journey, thoughts on the EU referendum campaign, the future of UKIP and whether he might rejoin the Conservatives in the future.

At the beginning of the show Keiran also gives his brief analysis on Trump's win in Nevada and recent polling of Labour Party members.

You can follow Keiran at @keiranpedley

Subscribe to the podcast on iTunes at https://itunes.apple.com/gb/podcast/polling-matters/id951904578?mt=

'Like' our Facebook page https://www.facebook.com/pollingmatters2016/

Polling Matters - Ep. 44 SCOTUS & 'Dubya' with Jon-Christopher Bua & Remain in trouble?

On this week's podcast, Keiran is joined by White House Correspondent  and U.S. political analyst Jon-Christopher Bua to discuss his reflections on the 2016 race, including the impact of the death of Justice Scalia and whether President George W Bush can inject life into his brother's ailing campaign. Jon-Christopher also gives his reflections on the appeal of Trump and Sanders and what might happen in Nevada and South Carolina.

In the second part of the show Keiran and Leo look closer to home, assessing the state of the Westminster parties as the UK gears up for its own election season and asking whether the E.U. referendum polls really are tightening.

You can following Jon Christopher Bua at @JCBua

Subscribe to the podcast on iTunes at https://itunes.apple.com/gb/podcast/polling-matters/id951904578?mt=

Polling Matters - Ep. 43 New Hampshire with 'The Pollsters'

On this week's episode Keiran was joined in the studio by Margie Omero and Kristen Soltis Anderson from the U.S. podcast 'The Pollsters'. We discussed who the big winners (and losers) were from New Hampshire. why Hilary Clinton can't seem to seal the deal with the Democratic Party, who drops out from the GOP race (and why it matters) and can anyone can stop Donald Trump from becoming to GOP nominee?

You can follow Margie and Kristen on twitter @ThePollsters  

Check out their website here http://www.thepollsters.com/ 

Subsribe to their podcast on iTunes https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-pollsters/id980260566 or just search 'The pollsters' on your podcast app.

You can watch the episode here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ySRKy5Fcb34 

Polling Matters - Ep. 42 TV Pilot, Iowa & E.U. Renegotiation

This week's PB/Polling Matters podcast sees Keiran discuss the recent Iowa caucus results in the U.S. and David Cameron's renegotiation of Britain's terms of E.U. membership with Mike Smithson and Leo Barasi.

This week we did things a bit differently - you can watch this week's podcast here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zfLVoOp2sYw&feature=youtu.be or download the audio in the usual way.

Polling Matters - Ep. 41 Looking ahead to Iowa and the importance of turnout

On this week's PB / Polling Matters podcast Keiran speaks to Will Jordan from YouGov in the U.S. They discuss the state of the 2016 race as it stands, the importance of turnout at next week's Iowa caucuses (and what that might mean for Trump and Sanders) plus how important Iowa will be for the wider race in such an apparently unconventional election cycle.

You can follow Keiran at @keiranpedley and Will at @williamjordann 

Polling Matters - Ep. 40 The BPC Polling Inquiry and are we underestimating Donald Trump?

On this week’s podcast Keiran discusses the initial BPC Polling Inquiry findings with Mike Smithson. Keiran explains some of the findings and why voting intention polls are not the same as public opinion polls. Mike argues that the polls being wrong shaped the General Election result and we discuss where polling goes from here and whether polling could face another crisis over the E.U. referendum result. Keiran and Mike also discuss the U.S. presidential race. Keiran argues we are underestimating Trump and Mike explains why he is no longer backing Ted Cruz in the betting markets.

You can follow Keiran on twitter at @keiranpedley