Polling Matters

Polling Matters - Ep. 59 Analysing the EU referendum polling with Matt Singh

On this week's PB/Polling Matters show, Keiran and Mike analyse the latest EU referendum polling with Matt Singh from Number Cruncher Politics. Is Leave really losing and what changes are pollsters making to their methods as polling day approaches? We also look ahead at the implications of the referendum on British politics in the longer term including David Cameron's future and who might replace him.

You can watch the show on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wVD0x0dXL7w&feature=youtu.be

You can follow Keiran on twitter at @keiranpedley, Mike at @msmithsonpb and Matt at @mattsingh_ 

Polling Matters - Ep. 58 Labour members plus the EU referendum phone vs online puzzle

On this week's show, Keiran and Rob analyse YouGov's recent polling of Labour members and what's behind Jeremy Corbyn's seemingly unassailable position as Labour leader. They also address the apparent limitations of such polling as described by pollster James Morris in today's Times and what this poll tells us (and doesn't tell us) about the future of the Labour Party. Meanwhile, the Polling Matters team also look at the continued difference between what online and telephone polls say about the upcoming EU referendum and debate how Leave can win.

(The podcast remains audio only this week whilst TipTV finalise their studio move. We expect to return to the TV studio next week).

You can follow Keiran on twitter at @keiranpedley and Rob and @robvance.

Polling Matters - Ep. 57 What do the polls tell us about the EU referendum campaign?

With 6 weeks to go until the EU referendum vote, Keiran and Leo look at the polling information that we currently have and assess the state of the campaign. How confident should Remain and Leave be? How should we treat Don't Knows in opinion polls? What will turnout be and why does this matter? What are the key issues each side should focus on and who is best to make the case for Remain and Leave as we approach polling day?

You can follow Keiran on twitter at @keiranpedley and Leo at @leobarasi

Polling Matters - Ep. 56 Reviewing 'Super Thursday' with Lord Hayward

On this week's podcast Keiran speaks to Lord Robert Hayward about Thursday's election results and what they mean.

Lord Hayward is well known and respected in Westminster for his expertise on psephology and regularly briefs the media on issues around elections and polling. Keiran and Robert sat down on the weekend after the elections to discuss what happened. Topics covered include the importance of national projected vote share, UKIP's rise in Wales, the SNP's failure to win a majority in Scotland and Ruth Davidson's success in becoming leader of the opposition and the London Mayoral race. We even found time at the end of our discussion to talk about the upcoming EU referendum campaign.. 

Polling Matters - Ep. 55 Focus on Scotland

In a bonus episode of the PB/Polling Matters show, Keiran is joined by Kate Devlin from the Herald and Dr Craig McAngus from the University of Aberdeen. We discuss all things Scotland ahead of next week's elections. Why is the SNP so popular? Why is Labour struggling to come second? And what impact could the EU referendum have on the potential for a second Scottish Independence referendum? We even find time to discuss what impact 'those' comments by Ken Livingstone might have on politics north of the border and more generally in Westminster.

Polling Matters - Ep. 54 Wales, Obama Brexit intervention, Trump v Clinton and Junior Doctors

Keiran is back from his holidays and there is much to discuss. Keiran is joined by Mike Smithson and Rob Vance to discuss the polling around Obama's intervention in the EU referendum debate, Tuesday's primary results in the US and the Junior Doctors strike and other events in Westminster. Keiran also speaks to Roger Scully from Cardiff University to discuss the upcoming Welsh Assembly elections.

Note - there are some intermittent sound quality issues towards the end of the interview with Roger Scully. These do not continue throughout the rest of the episode.

Polling Matters – Ep. 53 London mayor and extremism allegations, EU referendum & Clinton vs Trump

On this week’s episode, Labour peer Stewart Wood and Mike discuss the race to be London Mayor and the allegations of links with extremism. Later, they talk about polling in the EU referendum moving towards Remain and whether Clinton vs Trump is inevitable.

Polling Matters - Ep. 52 Turnout in the EU referendum, political spread betting & Trump's disorganisation

On this week’s podcast, Mike and Leo discussed how turnout in the EU referendum could influence the result, and the current state of the US primaries. Later in the episode, Ed Fulton from Sporting Index explained political spread betting and talked about the markets for the referendum and the US presidential election. Keiran is on holiday.

Polling Matters - Ep. 51 Focus on London (& Wisconsin)

On this week's show Keiran and Mike discuss all things London with Tony Travers from the LSE and Martin Hoscik from Mayorwatch.co.uk. We discuss who will win the Mayoral race and the London Assembly, whether London is really a 'Labour city' and what implications London might have for the rest of the country post-May. Later in the show, Keiran and Mike also talk Wisconsin and how much trouble Donald Trump is in.

Polling Matters - Ep. 50 Sanders, Labour's future, Corbyn & Brexit

On this week’s podcast, Keiran is joined by Marcus Roberts of YouGov and Stephen Bush from the New Statesman. We discuss the Sanders campaign in the U.S., Labour’s prospects in May (and Corbyn’s future) and the role that the Labour Party might play in the upcoming E.U. referendum campaign.