Polling Matters - Episode 103 Explaining the Labour surge & June predictions

On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran is joined by Matt Singh and Leo Barasi to discuss the tightening polls and what might happen in June. The team discuss whether Labour's recent poll surge is 'real' and what might be behind it. Matt unveils his analysis of what will happen in June based on his model. A model which succesfully predicted the 2015 General Election when all of the polls said the race was close. 

Later in the show, Keiran unveils new Polling Matters / Opinium polling that looks at how opinions of the main party leaders have changed since the election began. Also included in the survey is a question about who voters would trust to negotiate Brexit - May or Corbyn - with numbers trended from when the question was last asked in June. 

Follow this week's guests:

@keiranpedley

@mattsingh_

@leobarasi